Predicting Recidivism Using Survival Models - Rigorous Applied
Predicting Recidivism Using Survival Models - Rigorous Applied
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In this review of Predicting Recidivism Using Survival Models the bottom line is clear: this is a focused, technical monograph for researchers and advanced students interested in applying econometric survival techniques to criminal justice data. The authors describe the origins of their work and why timing and censoring present unique statistical challenges; the book's single biggest reason to buy is its detailed, applied perspective on modeling skewed time-to-event data in recidivism studies. Readers will find a careful methodological narrative rather than a broad textbook introduction.
Key Features
- Applied survival modeling: The book explains how survival models handle timing and censoring, giving readers concrete context for implementation in recidivism research.
- Historical perspective: Authors recount their development of approaches in the mid 1970s, helping readers appreciate methodological evolution and motivation.
- Econometric focus: Emphasis on methods from the econometric literature makes the work practical for applied quantitative researchers.
- Attention to data issues: The discussion of skewness and censoring provides valuable guidance when confronting real-world criminal justice data.
- Concise case orientation: Rather than broad survey material, the book concentrates on a concrete application, which aids reproducibility for similar studies.
Who It's For
This book is best suited for graduate students, applied statisticians, and criminology researchers who already have a grounding in econometrics or survival analysis and want a focused case study on recidivism timing. It presumes familiarity with quantitative methods and interest in methodological detail rather than introductory explanations.
Those seeking a beginner-friendly introduction to statistics, a general textbook on criminology, or a collection of policy essays should look elsewhere; this volume is narrow in scope and intended for readers aiming to implement or adapt survival models for event-time data.
Pros & Cons
Pros
- Provides a clear applied account of using survival models for recidivism, useful for replication and further study.
- Explains data challenges like censoring and skewness, helping readers prepare appropriate analyses.
- Offers historical and methodological context that illustrates why specific econometric choices were made.
Cons
- The focused, technical nature means it is not an introductory text and may be dense for newcomers to econometrics.
Specifications
| Title | Predicting Recidivism Using Survival Models |
| Series | Research in Criminology |
| Authors | Peter Schmidt, Ann D. Witte |
| Subject focus | Statistical modeling of recidivism timing |
| Methodological emphasis | Survival models, econometric methods |
| Key issues discussed | Skewness and censoring in event-time data |
Our Verdict
Predicting Recidivism Using Survival Models is a well-focused, methodologically rich volume that pays off for readers seeking a practical application of survival analysis in criminal justice research. It represents good value for graduate researchers and applied statisticians who need a case-oriented treatment of censoring and timing issues rather than a generalist introduction.
Frequently Asked Questions
Does this book teach survival model implementation?
The book emphasizes applied econometric approaches and explains how survival models address timing and censoring, but it assumes prior quantitative background rather than step-by-step software tutorials.
Who wrote this volume?
The work is authored by Peter Schmidt and Ann D. Witte, who describe their development of these methods beginning in the mid 1970s.
Is this suitable for policy makers?
Policy makers may find the insights useful, but the book is aimed primarily at researchers and advanced students familiar with econometric concepts.
Editor's Take
Predicting Recidivism Using Survival Models is a focused, methodologically rich volume ideal for graduate researchers and applied statisticians needing a case-oriented treatment of censoring and timing issues in recidivism studies.

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